Automobile Dealership Trends Expected in 2024

Introduction

2024 is poised to mark a period of stabilization and cautious optimism within the automobile dealership sector, following the tumultuous years prompted by the pandemic.

Cox Automotive has issued an economic report for 2024, with insights from their Chief Economist, Jonathan Smoke, who foresees a tempered growth outlook due to the impact of high interest rates and gradually receding inflation levels, which are expected to restrain consumer spending. Nevertheless, a transition toward a buyer’s market is on the horizon, characterized by the resurgence of incentives and heightened competition among dealerships, marking a departure from the seller-dominant environment of recent years.

Challenges

In response to the challenges ahead, dealerships are proactively seeking cost-saving measures to uphold profitability. While used car sales and service departments are anticipated to thrive, new car sales face hurdles attributed to escalating manufacturer prices (MSRPs) and dealer costs (invoices), potentially squeezing profit margins amid consumer price sensitivity. Furthermore, the uptick in interest rates and the imperative to invest in electric vehicle (EV) infrastructure pose additional financial strains for dealerships. Consequently, many dealerships are adopting a cautiously optimistic approach towards sales, prioritizing strategies to navigate economic headwinds and secure long-term viability.

Although electric vehicle (EV) sales are projected to continue their upward trajectory, the pace may be slower than initially forecasted, influenced by factors such as fluctuating demand, affordability challenges, and inadequate charging infrastructure. Recent closures of EV plants underscore a recalibration within the industry, revealing that consumer adoption of new EV models in the U.S. market hinges heavily on subsidies or financing incentives.

Trends

The trend towards online vehicle purchasing has gained momentum in recent years, necessitating dealerships to bolster their digital retailing capabilities and enhance online sales and customer service platforms. While physical presence remains integral to dealership success, effective online marketing and management strategies are pivotal in distinguishing between thriving and struggling dealerships. Cox Automotive anticipates a return to equilibrium in the U.S. auto market in 2024, heralding improved prospects for American consumers and fleet buyers who can expect a wider array of choices, enhanced deals, and greater accessibility to online purchasing tools.

Conclusion

Ferguson Appraisals has vast experience appraising automobile dealerships throughout Colorado, Wyoming and South Dakota. For current trends and insights, please contact us to assist with your investment needs. Other market insights can be sought from Cox Automotive at the link below.

Cox Automotive Insights

Wyoming Hospitality Market Report 2024

The Wyoming hotel market consists of 471 properties, totaling approximately 29,000 rooms. Notably, the market is characterized by its small hotels, with an average of around 61 rooms per building—significantly below the U.S. average of 89 rooms per building.

Cost-effective accommodations are prevalent, with over 55% of the rooms falling into the Economy or Midscale categories. The trailing 12-month occupancy rate stands at 56.5%, below the national average of 63.0% for the same period. Although Wyoming initially experienced the impact of COVID-19 with an annualized occupancy drop to 42.3%, its recovery has been slower compared to other hospitality markets. However, RevPAR and ADR have increased drastically throughout much of the state over the last few years.

Additional research is provided by CoStar in the link below.

Read More at: Wyoming Hospitality 2024 Real Estate Report

Market data is provided by CoStar Analytics. Ferguson Appraisals, LLC is a licensed user of CoStar Analytics and has received permission to share the published report.

Rapid City Retail Real Estate Report 2024

Rapid City boasts a vibrant and resilient economy propelled by a diverse array of industries. As per Oxford Economics, the city maintains an average annual unemployment rate of 1.9%, significantly lower than the 10-year average of 3.1% and the national average of 3.6%.

In the Rapid City retail market, the vacancy rate is at a low 2.1%, reflecting a 0.8% decrease over the past 12 months. During this period, the market saw absorption of 82,000 SF and the delivery of 11,000 SF. The General Retail subtype dominates with 6.4 million SF in this category. Rental rates are approximately $14.10/SF, marking a 2.2% increase from a year ago. Over the past three years, cumulative rent growth stands at 8.2%.

In terms of sales, there have been 64 transactions totaling approximately $70.4 million in the last three years. During this period, the market cap rate for Rapid City has slightly decreased to 7.9%, just below its trailing three-year average of 8.0%.

For more detailed insights, feel free to reach out to Dustin Ferguson for the latest trends.

Read More at: Retail Market Report for Rapid City, SD

Market data is provided by CoStar Analytics. Ferguson Appraisals, LLC is a licensed user of CoStar Analytics and has received permission to share the published report.

Denver, CO Office Sector Trends in 2024

In 2024, Denver is grappling with one of the highest vacancy rates, standing at 16.3%. The pervasive challenge of low office utilization, seen nationwide, is particularly pronounced in Denver. This susceptibility is attributed to the city’s significant reliance on the tech sector workforce, known for their prominent adoption of flexible workplace arrangements.

The prevailing high-interest rate environment has expedited this trend. Faced with economic uncertainties and slower growth, tech companies, in an effort to cut costs, are laying off workers and shedding office space. Much of this surplus office space is entering the sublease market, currently totaling around 6.0 million SF. While this represents a decrease from the peak observed earlier in the year at 7.9 million SF, it remains a substantial obstacle for landlords leasing direct space.

The CBD (Central Business District) is particularly impacted, with 5.8% of office space available for sublease—well above the 3.2% average across the entire Denver market. Notably, average asking rents for sublease listings in the CBD are 47% lower than direct listings. This is a significant shift from late 2019 when both direct and sublease listings were priced equally, reflecting the increased challenges in the current market.

Denver is anticipated to struggle with elevated office availability for an extended period, as leasing trends indicate companies are adjusting their footprints to reduce space-per-worker requirements upon lease expiration. Leases signed in the third quarter averaged around 3,400 SF, marking an improvement from the trough observed in early 2021 at 2,600 SF. Nevertheless, this still represents a roughly 40% decrease in average lease size since its peak in 2015.

Additional research is provided by CoStar in the link below.

Read More at: Denver Office Market Report

Market data is provided by CoStar Analytics. Ferguson Appraisals, LLC is a licensed user of CoStar Analytics and has received permission to share the published report.